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FARHANG JAHANPOUR's avatar

You need not be a friend of the Iranian government, and I am completely opposed to the clerical regime, to realise that activating the snapback mechanism and reimposing sanctions on Iran further pushes the world towards chaos and lawlessness. This state of affairs is perilous for the world as a whole, but it also poses a significant threat to major powers in the nuclear age. With a genocide raging in Gaza and a proxy war between Russia and the West continuing in Ukraine, reimposing sanctions on Iran is an act of total irresponsibility and the violation of international law.

Iran and the world reached a landmark nuclear agreement (JCPOA), according to which Iran massively reduced its peaceful, civilian nuclear activities and accepted IAEA inspections in return for the lifting of all sanctions. To strengthen its commitment to the nuclear agreement, Iran voluntarily joined the so-called “Additional Protocol”, which allows unannounced IAEA inspections of all nuclear sites. The agreement was unanimously endorsed by the UNSC Resolution 2231, lifting all the UN sanctions on Iran.

In numerous reports, the IAEA testified that Iran continued to abide by the terms of the agreement, even for more than a year after the Trump administration withdrew from the deal. The E3 also violated the deal as they did not honour its terms after the US withdrawal. Then we had the aggressive attack by Israel and the United States on Iranian nuclear sites in the middle of negotiations between Iran and the United States, even though US intelligence had testified that Iran had not weaponised its nuclear programme.

Reimposing sanctions on Iran, instead of condemning and punishing the United States and Israel for their aggressive, illegal attacks, is the height of folly and disregard for international law. This will further undermine international law, global peace and security and any trust in international agreements. There is still time to reverse this bullying decision.

Schahriar Hatam's avatar

It's far too early to deliver a final conclusion on the snapback mechanism and its consequences for Iran. Many events, like the situation in Ukraine or tariffs on China, could occur that might influence the behavior of Russia and China.

Iran's "Look East" policy, a cornerstone of its foreign policy focused on strategic rapprochement with Moscow and Beijing, was based on a flawed premise. The limits of this relationship became clear during the 12-day war. Despite public declarations of support, neither Russia nor China offered Iran any meaningful assistance or deterrence. Their reserved stance made it clear that their strategic interests don't necessarily align with Tehran's when a direct conflict looms.

I'd argue that when push comes to shove, both countries will likely use Iran as a bargaining chip. I'd be interested to know what your thoughts are on this.

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